2024 Major League Baseball Win Probability

Other Leagues: AL, NL

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Team Win Probability*

Team Win Probability* Table
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo
Arizona Diamondbacks	4.80	-6.7	-0.5	1363	-1.0	23.3	-24.4	1.02	0.6	-1.6	-0.7%	12.8%	-13.5%	.93	-1.0%	0.6	0.3	0.95	10.5	37	24	53
Atlanta Braves	4.03	17.3	2.0	1225	3.8	23.2	-19.4	1.04	4.2	-0.5	2.6%	15.9%	-13.3%	1.18	-0.4%	28.4	3.2	0.92	45.4	35	23	44
Baltimore Orioles	3.68	13.8	1.7	1282	3.7	23.4	-19.7	1.00	3.4	0.3	2.7%	15.5%	-12.7%	1.09	0.4%	33.6	4.0	0.88	34.1	39	27	51
Boston Red Sox	3.46	41.6	4.7	1336	3.6	24.6	-21.0	1.06	4.7	-1.3	2.0%	14.7%	-12.7%	1.06	-0.9%	46.0	5.1	0.93	56.0	40	33	37
Chicago Cubs	4.33	15.8	2.4	1415	3.0	27.9	-24.9	1.12	3.0	-0.3	1.9%	17.8%	-15.9%	1.19	-0.2%	15.0	2.4	0.95	25.4	50	22	48
Chicago White Sox	5.43	-33.9	-3.3	1412	-2.9	23.9	-26.8	1.03	-2.7	-0.1	-0.5%	5.7%	-6.2%	.40	0.3%	-30.8	-2.9	0.95	-30.9	50	30	50
Cincinnati Reds	4.35	11.2	1.2	1335	0.9	19.8	-18.9	.88	0.7	0.4	0.4%	11.4%	-11.0%	.84	0.1%	11.6	1.3	0.94	11.7	28	26	50
Cleveland Guardians	3.60	17.9	2.2	1380	4.0	27.2	-23.2	1.09	2.8	0.8	2.8%	19.0%	-16.2%	1.27	0.6%	38.1	4.4	0.95	32.9	58	31	49
Colorado Rockies	5.88	-24.5	-2.2	1376	-3.9	19.9	-23.7	.90	-2.4	-1.9	-1.6%	6.1%	-7.7%	.47	-2.0%	-34.7	-2.9	0.96	-22.8	27	23	48
Detroit Tigers	3.74	22.9	2.5	1327	3.3	26.2	-22.9	1.10	3.8	-0.8	2.1%	16.6%	-14.6%	1.17	-0.5%	34.4	3.7	0.92	44.3	49	23	31
Houston Astros	5.03	-30.6	-2.5	1374	-1.4	22.9	-24.3	.99	-1.6	0.2	-0.7%	8.8%	-9.5%	.64	-0.2%	-13.4	-0.6	0.98	-11.5	35	28	54
Kansas City Royals	3.31	29.5	3.4	1349	4.6	25.7	-21.1	1.06	3.5	0.9	2.8%	16.2%	-13.3%	1.11	0.5%	44.2	5.0	0.96	41.1	40	26	44
Los Angeles Angels	5.26	-25.9	-2.4	1385	-2.0	19.6	-21.6	.83	-1.3	-1.1	-0.9%	9.9%	-10.8%	.69	-0.5%	-21.0	-1.8	0.94	-13.3	18	24	64
Los Angeles Dodgers	3.70	31.5	3.3	1423	4.0	23.9	-19.9	.95	4.9	-0.7	2.7%	16.4%	-13.7%	1.08	-0.4%	44.4	4.8	0.92	53.6	35	36	48
Miami Marlins	5.70	-31.2	-2.6	1525	-3.7	23.4	-27.1	.95	-1.5	-2.4	-1.1%	6.5%	-7.6%	.44	-1.6%	-33.1	-2.6	0.99	-20.6	35	32	58
Milwaukee Brewers	4.32	5.6	0.8	1337	2.9	23.4	-20.5	1.01	1.3	1.5	2.0%	16.0%	-14.0%	1.15	1.0%	12.5	1.7	0.95	11.2	40	26	47
Minnesota Twins	4.15	0.9	0.3	1295	2.7	22.3	-19.6	.97	2.7	0.1	1.6%	11.9%	-10.4%	.86	0.2%	17.5	2.1	0.91	28.8	42	23	44
New York Mets	4.31	8.6	1.2	1421	2.4	27.2	-24.9	1.14	2.2	-0.1	1.2%	14.6%	-13.4%	1.02	-0.2%	17.1	2.1	0.99	27.9	53	24	42
New York Yankees	3.44	30.7	3.3	1391	5.2	28.4	-23.1	1.15	3.4	1.2	3.6%	19.7%	-16.2%	1.34	0.6%	44.9	4.8	0.96	34.4	48	25	36
Oakland Athletics	4.19	-7.3	-0.6	1404	2.3	23.8	-21.4	.94	0.3	2.2	0.7%	10.9%	-10.1%	.73	0.9%	7.7	1.0	0.97	-1.5	34	29	46
Philadelphia Phillies	3.69	30.0	3.5	1384	5.0	25.1	-20.1	1.01	4.4	0.6	3.1%	15.7%	-12.6%	1.05	0.3%	36.6	4.3	0.93	48.1	44	20	43
Pittsburgh Pirates	3.94	19.9	2.1	1380	2.7	25.7	-23.1	1.06	2.6	-0.1	1.3%	15.3%	-14.0%	1.06	-0.3%	27.1	2.9	0.94	30.1	48	22	40
San Diego Padres	4.71	-11.5	-0.9	1477	-0.6	22.6	-23.3	.90	0.2	-0.9	-0.5%	12.9%	-13.4%	.86	-0.6%	-3.1	-0.1	0.93	3.2	34	31	64
Seattle Mariners	3.26	26.9	3.0	1287	3.3	21.4	-18.1	.94	4.6	-1.1	1.8%	12.2%	-10.5%	.90	-0.7%	42.8	4.9	0.88	51.4	30	21	51
San Francisco Giants	4.81	-20.1	-1.5	1398	1.0	21.2	-20.2	.90	0.6	0.5	0.4%	11.1%	-10.7%	.78	0.1%	-12.0	-0.5	0.96	-1.2	28	26	61
St. Louis Cardinals	4.40	7.3	1.1	1343	1.1	23.8	-22.7	1.00	1.2	-0.1	0.4%	12.0%	-11.5%	.84	-0.2%	11.4	1.5	0.94	14.7	32	38	39
Tampa Bay Rays	5.00	-27.9	-2.7	1443	0.5	25.5	-25.0	1.05	0.0	0.5	0.1%	13.1%	-13.0%	.91	0.2%	-8.8	-0.7	0.94	-1.3	50	25	38
Texas Rangers	3.94	11.0	1.5	1361	4.0	24.9	-20.9	1.02	4.2	-0.3	2.4%	15.3%	-12.9%	1.05	-0.2%	26.5	3.2	0.92	45.7	43	23	38
Toronto Blue Jays	4.71	-22.5	-1.8	1353	0.4	20.6	-20.3	.87	-1.8	2.3	0.2%	11.3%	-11.1%	.79	1.4%	-11.6	-0.6	0.96	-22.7	19	38	58
Washington Nationals	4.47	-1.0	0.3	1357	0.4	23.3	-22.9	.99	0.3	0.1	0.0%	11.8%	-11.8%	.84	-0.2%	4.2	0.8	0.97	4.7	37	33	54
League Average	4.32	3	1	1371	2	24	-22	1.00	2	0	1%	13%	-12%	.92	0%	13	2	0	18	39	27	48
	4.32	99.3	19.5	41138	49.4	714.1	-664.7	1.00	48.1	1.4	32.9%	397.2%	-364.4%	.92	6.7%	376.0	51.1	0.94	529.3	1158	812	1430
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo